Marton Fucsovics vs Frances TiafoeTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#76ATP
1756ELO
1719Hard ELO
$550kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Fucsovics M.
3-6 6-1 7-5
Tiafoe F.
Fucsovics M.
3672
Tiafoe F.
6151

Marton Fucsovics defeated Frances Tiafoe 3-6 6-1 7-5 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, defending last year's round of 32. Marton Fucsovics extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-12StuttgartSFgrassFrances Tiafoe6-3 7-6(11)
2020-08-31US OpenR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-2 6-3 6-2
2020-01-06DohaR32hardMarton Fucsovics6-4 4-6 6-4
2018-05-21GenevaR16clayMarton Fucsovics7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Fucsovics M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Fucsovics M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fucsovics M.Tiafoe F.
23
Serve
38
73
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.9
7.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
73
83
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
65
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
48
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1719
Surface ELO
6.5+142 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1756
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1918
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
72

Fucsovics M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%