Cristina Bucsa vs Maria Lourdes Carle — Beijing Qualifying Round 2

Beijing · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
Cristina Bucsa
ESP
Cristina Bucsa
#35WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#232WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Bucsa C.
7-5 6-4
Carle M.
Bucsa C.
762
Carle M.
54–

Cristina Bucsa defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 7-5 6-4 in the Beijing qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Cristina Bucsa came in ranked #35.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bucsa C.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Carle M.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bucsa C.Carle M.
22
Serve
—
52
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bucsa C.Carle M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bucsa C.Carle M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
27
Break points saved·Dominant
79
26
Break points won·Even
93
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
68
56
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
27
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bucsa C.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
Carle M.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+251 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1459
8.3Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
2.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bucsa C.Carle M.
Freshness·
—
86

Carle M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Seidel E.
Arango E.
6-47-5
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-2
Bucsa C.
Carle M.
7-56-4
Zakharova A.
Minnen G.
6-26-1
Volynets K.
Tararudee L.
3-67-646-3
Hon P.
Cocciaretto E.
6-26-4
Uchijima M.
Garland J.
6-22-66-1
Sasnovich A.
Lepchenko V.
6-46-1
Bondar A.
Parry D.
6-06-4
Tjen J.
Tomova V.
6-27-62
Galfi D.
Kawa K.
7-56-2
Inglis M.
Masarova R.
4-67-657-5
Q1
Uchijima M.
Jiang X.
6-46-3
Bondar A.
Zhu C.
7-686-2
Arango E.
Shao Y.
6-46-2
Seidel E.
Ponchet J.
6-46-3
Jacquemot E.
Aiava D.
7-56-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Li Z.
6-36-3
Bucsa C.
Ngounoue C.
6-26-3
Carle M.
Ren Y.
6-16-2
Zakharova A.
Rodionova A.
6-46-1
Minnen G.
Timofeeva M.
3-67-656-2
Tararudee L.
Gracheva V.
7-666-4
Volynets K.
Sharma A.
6-26-0
Cocciaretto E.
Paquet C.
6-46-1
Hon P.
Shibahara E.
3-67-56-1
Garland J.
Yao X.
6-24-66-3
Lepchenko V.
Jeanjean L.
6-34-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Prozorova T.
6-46-1
Parry D.
Astakhova D.
6-26-2
Tomova V.
Osuigwe W.
6-37-62
Tjen J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-3
Galfi D.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-24-66-4
Kawa K.
Hunter S.
7-657-60
Inglis M.
Erjavec V.
6-36-3
Masarova R.
Diyas Z.
6-46-4