Ethan Quinn vs Mattia BellucciTokyo Qualifying Round 2

Tokyo · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#47ATP
1804ELO
1767Hard ELO
$724kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Quinn E.
4-6 6-4 7-5
Bellucci M.
Quinn E.
4672
Bellucci M.
6451

Ethan Quinn defeated Mattia Bellucci 4-6 6-4 7-5 in the Tokyo qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Ethan Quinn came in ranked #47.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Quinn E.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Quinn E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Quinn E.Bellucci M.
37
Serve
0
21
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
71
60
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Slight edge
20
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.5+89 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1678
6.7Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1720
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
100

Quinn E.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Bellucci M.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%