Katie Boulter vs Hailey Baptiste — Beijing Round of 128

Beijing · WTA · Round of 128
Katie Boulter
GBR
Katie Boulter
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
Hailey Baptiste
USA
Hailey Baptiste
#30WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Boulter K.
7-5 5-7 6-4
Baptiste H.
Boulter K.
7562
Baptiste H.
5741

Katie Boulter defeated Hailey Baptiste 7-5 5-7 6-4 in the Beijing round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Hailey Baptiste came in ranked #30, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Boulter K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Baptiste H.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Boulter K.Baptiste H.
21
Serve
40
67
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Boulter K.Baptiste H.
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.5
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Boulter K.Baptiste H.
Clutch Rating·Even
87
83
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
93
Break points won·Clear edge
93
79
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
88
Tiebreaks·Even
88
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Boulter K.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Baptiste H.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.2+14 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1781
4.8Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1844
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
3.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Boulter K.Baptiste H.
Freshness·
98
—

Boulter K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Anisimova A.[3]
Noskova L.[26]
6-02-66-2
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[3]
Gauff C.[2]
6-16-2
Noskova L.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-31-67-66
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[2]
Lys E.
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Paolini J.[6]
6-746-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Kartal S.
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[16]
6-726-26-1
R16
Paolini J.[6]
Bouzkova M.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[2]
Bencic B.[15]
4-67-646-2
Pegula J.[5]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-36-746-1
Kartal S.
Andreeva M.[4]
7-52-67-5
Noskova L.[26]
Potapova A.
6-26-4
Lys E.
Kessler M.
4-66-16-2
Anisimova A.[3]
Muchova K.[13]
1-66-26-4
Navarro E.[16]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-44-66-0
R32
Kessler M.
Krejcikova B.
1-67-53-0
Noskova L.[26]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-43-63-0
Navarro E.[16]
Boisson L.
6-21-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Osorio C.
6-00-0
Muchova K.[13]
Badosa P.[18]
4-2
Gauff C.[2]
Fernandez L.[25]
6-44-67-5
Bencic B.[15]
Hon P.
4-66-46-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-1
Pegula J.[5]
Raducanu E.[30]
3-67-696-0
Bouzkova M.
Kudermetova V.[24]
6-37-5
Paolini J.[6]
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-0
Lys E.
Rybakina E.[8]
6-31-66-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Zhang S.
7-6116-0
Kostyuk M.[23]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Sonmez Z.
6-37-5
Kartal S.
Joint M.
6-36-2
R64
Sasnovich A.
Osaka N.[12]
1-66-46-2
Kessler M.
Mertens E.[20]
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[8]
Mcnally C.
7-54-66-3
Noskova L.[26]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-14-66-4
Kartal S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-36-0
Joint M.
Shnaider D.[17]
7-56-1
Navarro E.[16]
Ruse E.
6-37-60
Muchova K.[13]
Cirstea S.
6-26-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Bucsa C.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Yuan Y.
6-06-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Zhu L.
6-26-2
Kostyuk M.[23]
Seidel E.
6-16-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.[29]
7-56-4
Badosa P.[18]
Ruzic A.
6-37-62
Bouzkova M.
Linette M.[33]
7-57-5
Kudermetova V.[24]
Bondar A.
7-56-3
Bencic B.[15]
Volynets K.
6-36-3
Lys E.
Jovic I.[32]
6-34-67-5
Pegula J.[5]
Tomljanovic A.
6-06-3
Gauff C.[2]
Rakhimova K.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.[25]
Sakkari M.
6-26-0
Hon P.
Ostapenko J.[22]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.
Alexandrova E.[9]
7-56-2
Zhang S.
Wang X.[31]
6-46-2
Paolini J.[6]
Sevastova A.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Potapova A.
Mboko V.[21]
7-657-5
Sonmez Z.
Tauson C.[10]
6-42-66-3
Kenin S.[27]
Kudermetova P.
6-46-2
R128
Volynets K.
Stearns P.
6-42-66-3
Joint M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-2
Ruse E.
Sramkova R.
6-26-2
Kartal S.
Parks A.
6-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Cristian J.
6-46-0
Zhu L.
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-616-2
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.
6-26-4
Seidel E.
Frech M.
7-56-4
Sasnovich A.
Tjen J.
6-747-56-1
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-56-1
Osorio C.
Li A.
7-56-757-5
Sakkari M.
Krueger A.
7-656-757-5
Hon P.
Golubic V.
1-66-37-64
Potapova A.
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Sonmez Z.
Wei S.
6-26-0
Bondar A.
Andreescu B.
6-47-64
Mcnally C.
Siegemund L.
6-46-2
Yuan Y.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Rakhimova K.
Bronzetti L.
6-46-1
Boulter K.
Baptiste H.
7-55-76-4
Krejcikova B.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kessler M.
Shi H.
6-27-65
Lys E.
Zhang R.
6-16-0
Zhang S.
Zakharova A.
3-66-16-4
Ruzic A.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-3
Cirstea S.
Dolehide C.
6-26-3
Bouzkova M.
Maria T.
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Inglis M.
7-57-67
Sevastova A.
Birrell K.
6-37-61
Arango E.
Lamens S.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Galfi D.
7-665-76-2