Matteo Arnaldi vs Luca Nardi — Tokyo Qualifying Round 1

Tokyo · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
[5]
#104ATP
1763ELO
1699Hard ELO
$302kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
ITA
Luca Nardi
#163ATP
1608ELO
1583Hard ELO
$198kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLLLWW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Nardi L.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 48 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.2+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1583
6.4Overall Elo 1763
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1608
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Arnaldi M.
66462
Nardi L.
07731

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.13
SlowFast

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24TokyoQ1hardMatteo Arnaldi6-0 6-7(4) 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
Arnaldi M.Nardi L.
56%1st serve in+6%62%
66%1st serve points won+3%69%
49%2nd serve points won+3%52%
59%Service points won+3%62%
39%Return points won+1%38%
61%Break points saved+2%63%
4.4Aces / match+0.85.2
4.4Double faults / match+1.82.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Vukic A.
Sakamoto R.
6-47-65
Shimabukuro S.
Cerundolo J.[4]
6-46-3
Quinn E.[7]
Bellucci M.[2]
4-66-47-5
Fucsovics M.[1]
Arnaldi M.[5]
7-56-2
Q1
Quinn E.[7]
Shimizu Y.
7-646-4
Bellucci M.[2]
Uchiyama Y.
7-655-77-5
Shimabukuro S.
Navone M.[8]
6-26-3
Arnaldi M.[5]
Nardi L.
6-06-746-3
Sakamoto R.
Walton A.[6]
6-26-4
Cerundolo J.[4]
Noguchi R.
6-36-2
Vukic A.
Kovacevic A.[3]
6-46-746-2
Fucsovics M.[1]
Misolic F.
6-36-1