Ella Seidel vs Emiliana ArangoBeijing Qualifying Round 2

Beijing · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#100WTA
1616ELO
1614Hard ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Seidel E.
6-4 7-5
Arango E.
Seidel E.
672
Arango E.
45

Ella Seidel defeated Emiliana Arango 6-4 7-5 in the Beijing qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #97, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Ella Seidel claimed a first win over Emiliana Arango in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-19RabatR32clayEmiliana Arango6-3 4-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Seidel E.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Seidel E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Seidel E.Arango E.
20
Serve
0
9
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
57
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
56
Break points won·Slight edge
70
81
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
70
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
89
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+38 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1576
5.3Overall Elo 1616
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1624
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
85

Seidel E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Arango E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast