Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Lisbon CH Quarter-final

Lisbon CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
POR
Henrique Rocha
#122ATP
1676ELO
1666Clay ELO
$197kYTD
$880kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
clay
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ESP
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
#119ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Rocha H.
6-3 6-4
Llamas Ruiz P.
Rocha H.
662
Llamas Ruiz P.
340

Henrique Rocha defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 6-4 in the Lisbon CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #119, but Henrique Rocha had been the form player, winning 6 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rocha H.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rocha H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Rocha H.Llamas Ruiz P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rocha H.Llamas Ruiz P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
45
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
67
88
Break points won·Clear edge
25
39
Deciding sets·Clear edge
57
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rocha H.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Llamas Ruiz P.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1666
Surface ELO
5.7+66 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1676
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1757
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.2
Surface form
7.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
3.7
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rocha H.Llamas Ruiz P.
Freshness·Even
100
97

Rocha H.: 20 days rest · Llamas Ruiz P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Gaubas V.
Rocha H.
6-736-36-4
Semi-finals
Rocha H.
Travaglia S.
4-66-47-63
Gaubas V.
Buse I.[4]
7-57-64
Quarter-finals
Travaglia S.
Ritschard A.
6-21-67-65
Rocha H.
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-4
Gaubas V.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-16-4
Buse I.[4]
Trungelliti M.
6-43-66-3
R16
Llamas Ruiz P.
Carballes Baena R.[3]
6-43-0
Ritschard A.
Kopriva V.[1]
6-46-2
Rocha H.
Choinski J.
6-16-4
Buse I.[4]
Monteiro T.
7-676-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Pereira T.
6-26-3
Trungelliti M.
Den Ouden G.
6-16-2
Travaglia S.
Faria J.[6]
6-15-76-4
Gaubas V.
Ferreira Silva F.
7-57-65
R32
Ritschard A.
Schwaerzler J.
6-26-1
Travaglia S.
Dodig M.
6-36-3
Faria J.[6]
Negritu C.
6-44-66-2
Llamas Ruiz P.
Moro Canas A.
6-47-65
Choinski J.
Pellegrino A.[8]
6-23-66-1
Den Ouden G.
Ymer E.
7-56-3
Buse I.[4]
Rocha F.
6-36-0
Pereira T.
Moller E.[5]
7-57-5
Merida Aguilar D.
Kym J.
6-24-66-4
Ferreira Silva F.
Clarke J.
6-31-66-1
Gaubas V.
Taberner C.[2]
6-16-4
Kopriva V.[1]
Pavlovic L.
6-36-4
Rocha H.
Araujo P.
6-46-3
Trungelliti M.
Galan D.[7]
6-27-63
Carballes Baena R.[3]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-2
Monteiro T.
Cecchinato M.
7-617-62