Dmitry Popko vs Quinn Vandecasteele — Las Vegas CH Round of 32

Las Vegas CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Dmitry Popko
KAZ6
Dmitry Popko
#629ATP
1385ELO
1400Hard ELO
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
hard
USA
Quinn Vandecasteele
#461ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
Popko D.
6-4 7-5
Vandecasteele Q.
Popko D.
672
Vandecasteele Q.
450

Dmitry Popko defeated Quinn Vandecasteele 6-4 7-5 in the Las Vegas CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Quinn Vandecasteele came in ranked #461, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Popko D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Vandecasteele Q.

Vandecasteele Q.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Popko D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Popko D.Vandecasteele Q.
1st serve in·Even
56%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Popko D.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Vandecasteele Q.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+32 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1368
4.8Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1383
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
4.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.8
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Popko D.Vandecasteele Q.
Freshness·Clear edge
81
61

Popko D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Vandecasteele Q.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Shelbayh A.
Rybakov A.
6-26-4
Semi-finals
Shelbayh A.
Hassan B.[4]
6-36-1
Rybakov A.
Ilagan A.
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Shelbayh A.
Rodionov J.[1]
3-66-46-2
Hassan B.[4]
Fenty A.
6-41-66-1
Rybakov A.
Sekulic P.
7-656-4
Ilagan A.
Bouzige M.
5-76-46-1
R16
Fenty A.
Bicknell B.
6-36-726-4
Sekulic P.
Fellin P.
6-46-2
Rybakov A.
Trotter J.[3]
6-47-68
Ilagan A.
Popko D.[6]
6-46-4
Shelbayh A.
Mejia N.[5]
7-56-1
Rodionov J.[1]
Williams C.
6-46-3
Bouzige M.
Wallin O.
6-747-616-3
Hassan B.[4]
Martin A.
6-717-56-3
R32
Bouzige M.
Papamalamis T.
3-64-1
Rodionov J.[1]
Johns G.
4-67-646-4
Williams C.
Rosenkranz M.
7-646-1
Mejia N.[5]
Zink T.
4-66-37-5
Hassan B.[4]
Winter E.
7-642-66-3
Martin A.
Masur D.
6-46-3
Bicknell B.
Maloney P.
6-26-4
Fenty A.
Monday J.[8]
7-646-4
Sekulic P.
Krueger M.[7]
6-32-67-63
Fellin P.
Bondioli F.
2-67-636-2
Wallin O.
Pinnington Jones J.[2]
1-66-36-2
Ilagan A.
King D.
6-26-3
Popko D.[6]
Vandecasteele Q.
6-47-5
Trotter J.[3]
Colson T.
6-36-4
Shelbayh A.
Perez A.
6-36-4
Rybakov A.
Cox T.
6-36-1