Tiago Pereira vs Elmer Moller — Lisbon CH Round of 32

Lisbon CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
POR
Tiago Pereira
#379ATP
1179ELO
1200Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
clay
DEN5
Elmer Moller
#190ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
Pereira T.
7-5 7-5
Moller E.
Pereira T.
772
Moller E.
550

Tiago Pereira defeated Elmer Moller 7-5 7-5 in the Lisbon CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elmer Moller came in ranked #190, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pereira T.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Moller E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Pereira T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Pereira T.Moller E.
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pereira T.
2.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Moller E.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1200
Surface ELO
10.0+393 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1179
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1609
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
2.9
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pereira T.Moller E.
Freshness·Slight edge
76
86

Pereira T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Moller E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Gaubas V.
Rocha H.
6-736-36-4
Semi-finals
Rocha H.
Travaglia S.
4-66-47-63
Gaubas V.
Buse I.[4]
7-57-64
Quarter-finals
Travaglia S.
Ritschard A.
6-21-67-65
Rocha H.
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-4
Gaubas V.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-16-4
Buse I.[4]
Trungelliti M.
6-43-66-3
R16
Llamas Ruiz P.
Carballes Baena R.[3]
6-43-0
Ritschard A.
Kopriva V.[1]
6-46-2
Rocha H.
Choinski J.
6-16-4
Buse I.[4]
Monteiro T.
7-676-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Pereira T.
6-26-3
Trungelliti M.
Den Ouden G.
6-16-2
Travaglia S.
Faria J.[6]
6-15-76-4
Gaubas V.
Ferreira Silva F.
7-57-65
R32
Ritschard A.
Schwaerzler J.
6-26-1
Travaglia S.
Dodig M.
6-36-3
Faria J.[6]
Negritu C.
6-44-66-2
Llamas Ruiz P.
Moro Canas A.
6-47-65
Choinski J.
Pellegrino A.[8]
6-23-66-1
Den Ouden G.
Ymer E.
7-56-3
Buse I.[4]
Rocha F.
6-36-0
Pereira T.
Moller E.[5]
7-57-5
Merida Aguilar D.
Kym J.
6-24-66-4
Ferreira Silva F.
Clarke J.
6-31-66-1
Gaubas V.
Taberner C.[2]
6-16-4
Kopriva V.[1]
Pavlovic L.
6-36-4
Rocha H.
Araujo P.
6-46-3
Trungelliti M.
Galan D.[7]
6-27-63
Carballes Baena R.[3]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-2
Monteiro T.
Cecchinato M.
7-617-62