Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Bernard TomicJingshan CH Quarter-final

Jingshan CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
hard
#206ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
Mcdonald M.
7-5 7-6
Tomic B.
Mcdonald M.
7772
Tomic B.
5650

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Bernard Tomic 7-5 7-6 in the Jingshan CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #140.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Tomic B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Tomic B.
25
Serve
10
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
53
Break points saved·Even
96
92
Break points won·Dominant
66
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+163 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1441
6.6Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
8.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
84

Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Tomic B.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast