Sara Saito vs Natsumi Kawaguchi — W100 Incheon Round of 16

W100 Incheon · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
JPN
Sara Saito
#280WTA
1393ELO
1395Hard ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
hard
JPN
Natsumi Kawaguchi
#362WTA
1360ELO
1342Hard ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWL
Saito S.
6-4 6-4
Kawaguchi N.
Saito S.
662
Kawaguchi N.
44–

Sara Saito defeated Natsumi Kawaguchi 6-4 6-4 in the W100 Incheon round of 16 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Sara Saito edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Saito S.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Kawaguchi N.

Kawaguchi N.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Saito S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Saito S.Kawaguchi N.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
46%
Service points won·Even
53%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
50%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Saito S.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Kawaguchi N.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Hibino N.
Lee E.
7-57-62
Semi-finals
Lee E.
Kaji H.
7-56-1
Hibino N.
Saito S.
6-46-1
Quarter-finals
Saito S.
Dang Y.
6-46-0
Lee E.
Imamura S.
6-16-3
Kaji H.
Kuramochi M.
6-46-3
Hibino N.
Ku Y.
4-66-26-2
R16
Ku Y.
Matsuda M.
6-26-3
Hibino N.
Shimizu E.
6-36-4
Kaji H.
Zhu A.
6-36-4
Imamura S.
Naklo T.
6-26-3
Lee E.
Panshina V.
6-06-0
Saito S.
Kawaguchi N.
6-46-4
Kuramochi M.
Kobori M.
6-36-3
Dang Y.
Hosogi S.
6-21-67-64
R32
Ku Y.
Kim D.
6-36-1
Kobori M.
Back D.
6-03-66-3
Zhu A.
Choi S.
2-67-627-65
Imamura S.
Chang H.
6-26-3
Kaji H.
Plipuech P.
6-47-64
Hibino N.
Hule P.
6-36-0
Matsuda M.
Koshiishi A.
6-44-66-2
Naklo T.
Jeong B.
1-67-56-4
Shimizu E.
Muramatsu C.
6-36-2
Lee E.
Park S.
6-46-1
Saito S.
Jang S.
6-36-3
Kawaguchi N.
Lee Y.
6-17-5
Hosogi S.
Choi O.
6-26-1
Panshina V.
Nugroho P.
6-12-67-5
Kuramochi M.
Kolodynska J.
6-46-3
Dang Y.
Sato H.
6-46-2