Nao Hibino vs Sara Saito — W100 Incheon Semi-final

W100 Incheon · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Nao Hibino
JPN
Nao Hibino
#235WTA
1560ELO
1523Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
hard
JPN
Sara Saito
#281WTA
1393ELO
1395Hard ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWW
Hibino N.
6-4 6-1
Saito S.
Hibino N.
662
Saito S.
41–

Nao Hibino defeated Sara Saito 6-4 6-1 in the W100 Incheon semi-final on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Hibino N.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Saito S.

Saito S.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Hibino N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Hibino N.Saito S.
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hibino N.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Saito S.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+128 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1395
7.3Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1393
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hibino N.Saito S.
Freshness·
89
—

Hibino N.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Hibino N.
Lee E.
7-57-62
Semi-finals
Lee E.
Kaji H.
7-56-1
Hibino N.
Saito S.
6-46-1
Quarter-finals
Saito S.
Dang Y.
6-46-0
Lee E.
Imamura S.
6-16-3
Kaji H.
Kuramochi M.
6-46-3
Hibino N.
Ku Y.
4-66-26-2
R16
Ku Y.
Matsuda M.
6-26-3
Hibino N.
Shimizu E.
6-36-4
Kaji H.
Zhu A.
6-36-4
Imamura S.
Naklo T.
6-26-3
Lee E.
Panshina V.
6-06-0
Saito S.
Kawaguchi N.
6-46-4
Kuramochi M.
Kobori M.
6-36-3
Dang Y.
Hosogi S.
6-21-67-64
R32
Ku Y.
Kim D.
6-36-1
Kobori M.
Back D.
6-03-66-3
Zhu A.
Choi S.
2-67-627-65
Imamura S.
Chang H.
6-26-3
Kaji H.
Plipuech P.
6-47-64
Hibino N.
Hule P.
6-36-0
Matsuda M.
Koshiishi A.
6-44-66-2
Naklo T.
Jeong B.
1-67-56-4
Shimizu E.
Muramatsu C.
6-36-2
Lee E.
Park S.
6-46-1
Saito S.
Jang S.
6-36-3
Kawaguchi N.
Lee Y.
6-17-5
Hosogi S.
Choi O.
6-26-1
Panshina V.
Nugroho P.
6-12-67-5
Kuramochi M.
Kolodynska J.
6-46-3
Dang Y.
Sato H.
6-46-2