Vilius Gaubas vs Henrique RochaLisbon CH Final

Lisbon CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#128ATP
1581ELO
1535Clay ELO
$275kYTD
$759kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
clay
#124ATP
1676ELO
1666Clay ELO
$197kYTD
$880kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
Gaubas V.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Rocha H.
Gaubas V.
63662
Rocha H.
77341

Vilius Gaubas defeated Henrique Rocha 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Lisbon CH final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Henrique Rocha came in ranked #124, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaubas V.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Rocha H.

Rocha H.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gaubas V.

Serve advantage — Rocha H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
67
Break points won·Dominant
52
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1535
Surface ELO
5.2+132 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1676
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
90

Gaubas V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Rocha H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast