Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Hugo GastonOrleans CH Round of 32

Orleans CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#121ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
hard
#118ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLLW
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-3 6-4
Gaston H.
Budkov Kjaer N.
662
Gaston H.
340

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Hugo Gaston 6-3 6-4 in the Orleans CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Hugo Gaston came in ranked #118.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Gaston H.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
91
Break points won·Clear edge
39
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1598
Surface ELO
5.1+30 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
64

Budkov Kjaer N.: 16 days rest · Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast