Justin Engel vs Patrick KypsonOrleans CH Quarter-final

Orleans CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#279ATP
1411ELO
1411Hard ELO
$76kYTD
$528kCAREER
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
hard
#113ATP
1641ELO
1611Hard ELO
$260kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
Engel J.
7-6 6-4
Kypson P.
Engel J.
7762
Kypson P.
6440

Justin Engel defeated Patrick Kypson 7-6 6-4 in the Orleans CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Patrick Kypson came in ranked #113.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Engel J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kypson P.

Kypson P.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Engel J.

Serve advantage — Kypson P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
38
42
Break points saved·Even
89
93
Break points won·Dominant
10
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
48
17
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
53
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 46 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1411
Surface ELO
7.2+201 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1411
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1641
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
5.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Kypson P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast