Vilius Gaubas vs Ignacio Buse — Lisbon CH Semi-final

Lisbon CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
LTU
Vilius Gaubas
#129ATP
1581ELO
1535Clay ELO
$275kYTD
$759kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
clay
Ignacio Buse
PER4
Ignacio Buse
#34ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Gaubas V.
7-5 7-6
Buse I.
Gaubas V.
7772
Buse I.
5640

Vilius Gaubas defeated Ignacio Buse 7-5 7-6 in the Lisbon CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaubas V.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gaubas V.

Serve advantage — Buse I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Gaubas V.Buse I.
—
Serve
41
—
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Gaubas V.Buse I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaubas V.Buse I.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
63
Break points saved·Even
87
87
Break points won·Clear edge
52
28
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaubas V.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Buse I.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1535
Surface ELO
6.1+252 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1822
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
9.3
0.0
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaubas V.Buse I.
Freshness·Clear edge
78
93

Gaubas V.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Buse I.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Gaubas V.
Rocha H.
6-736-36-4
Semi-finals
Rocha H.
Travaglia S.
4-66-47-63
Gaubas V.
Buse I.[4]
7-57-64
Quarter-finals
Travaglia S.
Ritschard A.
6-21-67-65
Rocha H.
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-4
Gaubas V.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-16-4
Buse I.[4]
Trungelliti M.
6-43-66-3
R16
Llamas Ruiz P.
Carballes Baena R.[3]
6-43-0
Ritschard A.
Kopriva V.[1]
6-46-2
Rocha H.
Choinski J.
6-16-4
Buse I.[4]
Monteiro T.
7-676-4
Merida Aguilar D.
Pereira T.
6-26-3
Trungelliti M.
Den Ouden G.
6-16-2
Travaglia S.
Faria J.[6]
6-15-76-4
Gaubas V.
Ferreira Silva F.
7-57-65
R32
Ritschard A.
Schwaerzler J.
6-26-1
Travaglia S.
Dodig M.
6-36-3
Faria J.[6]
Negritu C.
6-44-66-2
Llamas Ruiz P.
Moro Canas A.
6-47-65
Choinski J.
Pellegrino A.[8]
6-23-66-1
Den Ouden G.
Ymer E.
7-56-3
Buse I.[4]
Rocha F.
6-36-0
Pereira T.
Moller E.[5]
7-57-5
Merida Aguilar D.
Kym J.
6-24-66-4
Ferreira Silva F.
Clarke J.
6-31-66-1
Gaubas V.
Taberner C.[2]
6-16-4
Kopriva V.[1]
Pavlovic L.
6-36-4
Rocha H.
Araujo P.
6-46-3
Trungelliti M.
Galan D.[7]
6-27-63
Carballes Baena R.[3]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-2
Monteiro T.
Cecchinato M.
7-617-62