Joao Fonseca vs Flavio CobolliLaver Cup Round Robin

Laver Cup · ATP · Round Robin
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 19 September 2025
hard
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Fonseca J.
6-4 6-3
Cobolli F.
Fonseca J.
662
Cobolli F.
430

Joao Fonseca defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-4 6-3 in the Laver Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Joao Fonseca had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Joao Fonseca claimed a first win over Flavio Cobolli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Joao Fonseca closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16HalleR32grassFlavio Cobolli5-7 7-6(3) 7-6(8)

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Serve advantage — Fonseca J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Cobolli F.
47
Serve
20
38
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
76
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Slight edge
43
35
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 43 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.4+104 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1810
5.5Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1896
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
4.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
66

Fonseca J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cobolli F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About