Elina Svitolina vs Paula BadosaBJK Cup Finals Round Robin

BJK Cup Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#10WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 19 September 2025
hard
#115WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Svitolina E.
5-7 6-2 7-5
Badosa P.
Svitolina E.
5672
Badosa P.
7251

Elina Svitolina defeated Paula Badosa 5-7 6-2 7-5 in the BJK Cup Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Elina Svitolina came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Elina Svitolina extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-15DubaiR32hardElina Svitolina6-4 0-0 RET
2021-06-21EastbourneR32grassElina Svitolina4-6 6-1 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Svitolina E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Serve advantage — Svitolina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Svitolina E.Badosa P.
48
Serve
21
57
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
93
Break points saved·Even
93
95
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Even
99
95
Tiebreaks·Even
92
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 43 days (−0.7)
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 81 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
7.9+250 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1748
8.2Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1780
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
99
68

Svitolina E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Badosa P.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast