Alejandro Tabilo vs Christopher OconnellChengdu Quarter-final

Chengdu · ATP · Quarter-final
#31ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 17 September 2025
hard
1673ELO
1657Hard ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
Tabilo A.
4-6 7-5 6-2
Oconnell C.
Tabilo A.
4762
Oconnell C.
6521

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Christopher Oconnell 4-6 7-5 6-2 in the Chengdu quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Alejandro Tabilo extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAlejandro Tabilo6-3 6-4
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersQ1hardAlejandro Tabilo6-3 5-7 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Oconnell C.

Oconnell C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tabilo A.Oconnell C.
51
Serve
20
10
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.9
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
49
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Dominant
59
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
38
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+93 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1657
7.3Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1673
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
6.3
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Tabilo A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast