Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander ShevchenkoChengdu Semi-final

Chengdu · ATP · Semi-final
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 17 September 2025
hard
1669ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLW
Musetti L.
6-3 6-1
Shevchenko A.
Musetti L.
662
Shevchenko A.
310

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Alexander Shevchenko 6-3 6-1 in the Chengdu semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR64clayLorenzo Musetti6-1 6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Shevchenko A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve advantage — Musetti L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Shevchenko A.
54
Serve
27
62
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
92
Break points won·Clear edge
82
60
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 41 days (−0.7)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.1+161 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1642
8.5Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1669
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
8.1
0.0
Win streak
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Shevchenko A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast