Taro Daniel vs Tallon GriekspoorChengdu Round of 16

Chengdu · ATP · Round of 16
#203ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 17 September 2025
hard
#58ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
Daniel T.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Griekspoor T.
Daniel T.
3662
Griekspoor T.
6431

Taro Daniel defeated Tallon Griekspoor 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Chengdu round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tallon Griekspoor came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Taro Daniel claimed a first win over Tallon Griekspoor in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR64clayTallon Griekspoor4-6 6-3 6-4
2022-08-22Winston-SalemR64hardTallon Griekspoor7-6(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Griekspoor T.

Griekspoor T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Daniel T.Griekspoor T.
Serve
51
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
33%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
99
Break points won·Even
37
34
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 31 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.1Hard Elo 1512
Surface ELO
8.9+265 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1789
5.0
H2H
5.0
0.7
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Daniel T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Griekspoor T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast