Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz BasilashviliChengdu Quarter-final

Chengdu · ATP · Quarter-final
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 17 September 2025
hard
#111ATP
1672ELO
1608Hard ELO
$326kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
Musetti L.
6-3 6-3
Basilashvili N.
Musetti L.
662
Basilashvili N.
330

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-3 6-3 in the Chengdu quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's final. Lorenzo Musetti narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassNikoloz Basilashvili6-2 4-6 7-5 6-1
2022-10-31Paris MastersR32hardLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-2
2022-06-06StuttgartR32grassNikoloz Basilashvili7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Basilashvili N.

Basilashvili N.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Basilashvili N.
54
Serve
62
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
92
Break points won·Dominant
82
42
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 41 days (−0.7)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+195 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1608
9.2Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1672
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.4
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
Prev. match
9.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Basilashvili N.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast