Emilio Nava vs Juan Pablo VarillasVilla Maria CH Round of 16

Villa Maria CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#91ATP
1704ELO
1686Clay ELO
$533kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Nava E.
6-3 6-2
Varillas J.
Nava E.
662
Varillas J.
320

Emilio Nava defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-3 6-2 in the Villa Maria CH round of 16 on clay. Emilio Nava claimed a first win over Juan Pablo Varillas in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24SantiagoQ1clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nava E.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Nava E.

Serve advantage — Nava E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Nava E.Varillas J.
22
Serve
1
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
52
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
80
Break points won·Dominant
17
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 39 days (−0.7)
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 133 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.5+255 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1431
7.8Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1440
3.9
H2H
6.1
5.3
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
62

Nava E.: 15 days rest · Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast