Francesco Maestrelli vs Matias SotoVilla Maria CH Round of 16

Villa Maria CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
clay
#249ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Maestrelli F.
6-2 6-4
Soto M.
Maestrelli F.
662
Soto M.
240

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Matias Soto 6-2 6-4 in the Villa Maria CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Soto M.

Soto M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
34
Break points saved·Dominant
83
51
Break points won·Even
14
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
68
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.3+55 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1412
6.2Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1421
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
2.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
50

Maestrelli F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Soto M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast