Francesco Maestrelli vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez — Villa Maria CH Round of 32

Villa Maria CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Francesco Maestrelli
ITA3
Francesco Maestrelli
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
clay
ARG
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
#499ATP
1219ELO
1209Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLWW
Maestrelli F.
7-6 1-6 6-3
Rodriguez L.
Maestrelli F.
716162
Rodriguez L.
614631

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 7-6 1-6 6-3 in the Villa Maria CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rodriguez L.

Rodriguez L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Maestrelli F.Rodriguez L.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Maestrelli F.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Rodriguez L.
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 84 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
9.0+257 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Clay Elo 1209
9.8Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
0.2Overall Elo 1219
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Maestrelli F.Rodriguez L.
Freshness·Even
97
93

Maestrelli F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rodriguez L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Nava E.[1]
Barrena A.[7]
6-36-3
Semi-finals
Barrena A.[7]
Gomez F.[4]
6-36-4
Nava E.[1]
Dellien Velasco M.
6-47-65
Quarter-finals
Barrena A.[7]
Kestelboim M.
6-06-1
Dellien Velasco M.
Maestrelli F.[3]
6-30-66-1
Gomez F.[4]
Bagnis F.
6-27-62
Nava E.[1]
Prado Angelo J.
7-696-4
R16
Bagnis F.
Collarini A.
W/O
Gomez F.[4]
Casanova H.
6-37-5
Nava E.[1]
Varillas J.
6-36-2
Prado Angelo J.
Jones M.
6-46-1
Maestrelli F.[3]
Soto M.
6-26-4
Dellien Velasco M.
Justo G.
6-46-0
Barrena A.[7]
La Serna J.
6-47-65
Kestelboim M.
Midon L.
2-66-36-3
R32
Dellien Velasco M.
Olivieri G.[5]
3-66-16-4
Maestrelli F.[3]
Rodriguez L.
7-6141-66-3
Soto M.
Zarate C.
6-47-5
Collarini A.
Bueno G.[6]
6-746-26-1
Bagnis F.
Ambrogi L.
2-66-26-4
Gomez F.[4]
Cavallo F.
6-27-5
La Serna J.
Falabella L.
7-626-1
Kestelboim M.
Juarez F.
6-46-3
Midon L.
Dellien H.[2]
6-02-66-3
Nava E.[1]
Dutra Da Silva D.
4-66-46-4
Jones M.
Reis Da Silva J.[8]
7-626-4
Prado Angelo J.
Boscardin Dias P.
6-26-2
Justo G.
Torres J.
6-756-36-4
Barrena A.[7]
Villanueva G.
7-646-1
Casanova H.
Kicker N.
6-36-2
Varillas J.
De La Fuente S.
7-656-3