Mariano Kestelboim vs Lautaro Midon — Villa Maria CH Round of 16

Villa Maria CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Mariano Kestelboim
ARG
Mariano Kestelboim
#692ATP
1198ELO
1189Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
clay
ARG
Lautaro Midon
1526ELO
1508Clay ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLLW
Kestelboim M.
2-6 6-3 6-3
Midon L.
Kestelboim M.
2662
Midon L.
6331

Mariano Kestelboim defeated Lautaro Midon 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the Villa Maria CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Lautaro Midon came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kestelboim M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Midon L.

Midon L.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kestelboim M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kestelboim M.Midon L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kestelboim M.Midon L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
14
38
Break points saved·Clear edge
7
28
Break points won·Dominant
18
63
Deciding sets·Slight edge
68
62
Tiebreaks·
—
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kestelboim M.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Midon L.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.1Clay Elo 1189
Surface ELO
8.9+319 Clay Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1198
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kestelboim M.Midon L.
Freshness·
—
64

Midon L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Nava E.[1]
Barrena A.[7]
6-36-3
Semi-finals
Barrena A.[7]
Gomez F.[4]
6-36-4
Nava E.[1]
Dellien Velasco M.
6-47-65
Quarter-finals
Barrena A.[7]
Kestelboim M.
6-06-1
Dellien Velasco M.
Maestrelli F.[3]
6-30-66-1
Gomez F.[4]
Bagnis F.
6-27-62
Nava E.[1]
Prado Angelo J.
7-696-4
R16
Bagnis F.
Collarini A.
W/O
Gomez F.[4]
Casanova H.
6-37-5
Nava E.[1]
Varillas J.
6-36-2
Prado Angelo J.
Jones M.
6-46-1
Maestrelli F.[3]
Soto M.
6-26-4
Dellien Velasco M.
Justo G.
6-46-0
Barrena A.[7]
La Serna J.
6-47-65
Kestelboim M.
Midon L.
2-66-36-3
R32
Dellien Velasco M.
Olivieri G.[5]
3-66-16-4
Maestrelli F.[3]
Rodriguez L.
7-6141-66-3
Soto M.
Zarate C.
6-47-5
Collarini A.
Bueno G.[6]
6-746-26-1
Bagnis F.
Ambrogi L.
2-66-26-4
Gomez F.[4]
Cavallo F.
6-27-5
La Serna J.
Falabella L.
7-626-1
Kestelboim M.
Juarez F.
6-46-3
Midon L.
Dellien H.[2]
6-02-66-3
Nava E.[1]
Dutra Da Silva D.
4-66-46-4
Jones M.
Reis Da Silva J.[8]
7-626-4
Prado Angelo J.
Boscardin Dias P.
6-26-2
Justo G.
Torres J.
6-756-36-4
Barrena A.[7]
Villanueva G.
7-646-1
Casanova H.
Kicker N.
6-36-2
Varillas J.
De La Fuente S.
7-656-3