Rafael Jodar vs Alex RybakovColumbus CH Round of 16

Columbus CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#25ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
hard
#428ATP
1352ELO
1310Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Jodar R.
6-3 6-4
Rybakov A.
Jodar R.
662
Rybakov A.
340

Rafael Jodar defeated Alex Rybakov 6-3 6-4 in the Columbus CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25.

Key context

  • Match story: Rafael Jodar closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rybakov A.

Rybakov A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jodar R.Rybakov A.
18
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
15
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
84
Break points won·Dominant
71
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
19
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+563 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1310
10.0Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1352
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
7.8
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
86

Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rybakov A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast