Polina Iatcenko vs Kaitlin Quevedo — Caldas Da Rainha 125 SF

Caldas Da Rainha 125 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final

RUS

Polina Iatcenko

#150WTA

1605ELO

1567Hard ELO

22 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWWLLLWWL

0 — 0

Sets

Monday, 15 September 2025

hard

ESP

Kaitlin Quevedo

#100WTA

1757ELO

1655Hard ELO

20 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWWLWLWW

Iatcenko P.

6-3 6-2

Quevedo K.

Iatcenko P.

662

Quevedo K.

32–

Polina Iatcenko defeated Kaitlin Quevedo 6-3 6-2 in the Caldas Da Rainha 125 semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kaitlin Quevedo came in ranked #100, but Polina Iatcenko had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Match story: Polina Iatcenko dropped just 5 games past Kaitlin Quevedo.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Iatcenko P.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Quevedo K.

Quevedo K.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Iatcenko P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Iatcenko P.Quevedo K.

1st serve in·Even

61%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

65%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

46%

Service points won·Even

57%

56%

Return points won·Even

48%

46%

Break points saved·Slight edge

57%

52%

Aces / match·Even

2.3

2.0

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.9

2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Iatcenko P.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Recent retirement (−1.5)

Quevedo K.

7.0

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.4Hard Elo 1567

Surface ELO

5.6+88 Hard Elo edge

4.0Overall Elo 1605

ELO gap

6.0Overall Elo 1757

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0

7.7

Surface form

7.5

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

7.03-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

4.0

3-set count

4.0

Context

5.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.