Polina Iatcenko vs Gabriela Andrea KnutsonCaldas Da Rainha 125 Final

Caldas Da Rainha 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
#157WTA
1605ELO
1567Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
hard
1518ELO
1467Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
Iatcenko P.
6-2 5-7 6-2
Knutson G.
Iatcenko P.
6562
Knutson G.
2721

Polina Iatcenko defeated Gabriela Andrea Knutson 6-2 5-7 6-2 in the Caldas Da Rainha 125 final on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Polina Iatcenko closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Iatcenko P.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Knutson G.

Knutson G.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Iatcenko P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+99 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1467
5.9Overall Elo 1605
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1518
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
7.7
Surface form
4.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Iatcenko P.: 17 days rest · Knutson G.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast