Jessika Ponchet vs Maria Lourdes Carle — Seoul Qualifying Round 1

Seoul · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
Jessika Ponchet
FRA
Jessika Ponchet
#193WTA
1579ELO
1508Hard ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
hard
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#218WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Ponchet J.
6-2 7-5
Carle M.
Ponchet J.
672
Carle M.
25–

Jessika Ponchet defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2 7-5 in the Seoul qualifying round 1 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ponchet J.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Carle M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Ponchet J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ponchet J.Carle M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
70%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ponchet J.Carle M.
Clutch Rating·Even
23
27
Break points saved·Dominant
75
26
Break points won·Dominant
45
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
35
55
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
20
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ponchet J.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Carle M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+49 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1459
5.6Overall Elo 1579
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ponchet J.Carle M.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Ponchet J.: 21 days rest · Carle M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Fruhvirtova L.
Paquet C.
6-44-66-3
Mcnally C.
Liang E.
6-36-3
Ponchet J.
Okamura K.
4-67-656-2
Siniakova K.
Gibson T.
6-16-2
Seidel E.
Zakharova A.
3-66-36-3
Prozorova T.
Volynets K.
6-46-1
Q1
Zakharova A.
Jang G.
6-37-5
Seidel E.
Hontama M.
6-23-67-67
Prozorova T.
Gracheva V.
6-36-3
Volynets K.
Chang H.
6-36-1
Gibson T.
Jang S.
6-34-66-2
Paquet C.
Parks A.
6-47-64
Fruhvirtova L.
Jeong B.
6-46-2
Liang E.
Lee E.
7-646-3
Mcnally C.
Wang Y.
6-46-1
Okamura K.
Blinkova A.
6-35-76-3
Ponchet J.
Carle M.
6-27-5
Siniakova K.
Sharma A.
6-46-4