Pablo Carreno Busta vs Lukas Neumayer — Bad Waltersdorf CH Round of 32

Bad Waltersdorf CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP5
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
clay
AUT
Lukas Neumayer
#167ATP
1621ELO
1598Clay ELO
$133kYTD
$573kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWW
Carreno Busta P.
7-5 4-6 6-3
Neumayer L.
Carreno Busta P.
7462
Neumayer L.
5631

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Lukas Neumayer 7-5 4-6 6-3 in the Bad Waltersdorf CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Neumayer L.

Neumayer L.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Neumayer L.
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Neumayer L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
40
Break points saved·Dominant
97
71
Break points won·Even
61
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
9
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Neumayer L.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+168 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1598
7.6Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1621
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Neumayer L.
Freshness·Clear edge
89
67

Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Neumayer L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Choinski J.
Kopriva V.[2]
7-56-4
Semi-finals
Choinski J.
Kolar Z.
6-46-2
Kopriva V.[2]
Carballes Baena R.[3]
6-16-3
Quarter-finals
Choinski J.
Passaro F.
7-646-3
Carballes Baena R.[3]
Barton H.
6-36-4
Kopriva V.[2]
Carreno Busta P.[5]
6-20-66-1
Kolar Z.
Burruchaga R.[8]
6-06-4
R16
Burruchaga R.[8]
Monteiro T.
6-46-726-0
Choinski J.
Topo M.
2-66-17-66
Passaro F.
Pavlovic L.
6-26-2
Kolar Z.
Piraino G.
6-11-66-2
Carballes Baena R.[3]
Kopp S.
6-13-66-2
Carreno Busta P.[5]
Sorger S.
7-56-4
Kopriva V.[2]
Schwaerzler J.
6-46-2
Barton H.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-45-76-4
R32
Choinski J.
Sachko V.
6-16-4
Pavlovic L.
Paroulek T.
6-46-766-3
Passaro F.
Lajovic D.[6]
6-15-76-4
Piraino G.
Tirante T.[4]
2-66-16-4
Kolar Z.
Dodig M.
6-46-4
Monteiro T.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-1
Barton H.
Moeller M.
6-33-67-65
Carballes Baena R.[3]
Novak D.
6-36-1
Carreno Busta P.[5]
Neumayer L.
7-54-66-3
Sorger S.
Kovalik J.
6-45-76-4
Schwaerzler J.
Stebe C.
7-56-1
Kopp S.
Ymer E.
6-46-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Galan D.[7]
6-46-2
Burruchaga R.[8]
Gaubas V.
6-26-1
Kopriva V.[2]
Seyboth Wild T.
6-33-67-61
Topo M.
Martinez P.[1]
6-13-0