Andrea Collarini vs Gonzalo BuenoVilla Maria CH Round of 32

Villa Maria CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#340ATP
1426ELO
1411Clay ELO
34 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
clay
#176ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLL
Collarini A.
6-7 6-2 6-1
Bueno G.
Collarini A.
64662
Bueno G.
77211

Andrea Collarini defeated Gonzalo Bueno 6-7 6-2 6-1 in the Villa Maria CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Gonzalo Bueno came in ranked #176, defending last year's round of 32, but Andrea Collarini had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 9 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Collarini A.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Bueno G.

Bueno G.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Collarini A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 101). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
44
Break points saved·Dominant
54
29
Break points won·Even
43
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
63

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1411
Surface ELO
6.1+58 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1426
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1491
2.8No prior meetings
H2H
7.2
5.6
Surface form
5.5
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
3-set count
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Bueno G.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast