Raphael Collignon vs Alex De MinaurDavis Cup QLS R2: AUS vs BEL Round Robin

Davis Cup QLS R2: AUS vs BEL · ATP · Round Robin
#42ATP
1894ELO
1837Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 13 September 2025
hard
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Collignon R.
7-5 3-6 6-3
De Minaur A.
Collignon R.
7362
De Minaur A.
5631

Raphael Collignon defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 3-6 6-3 in the Davis Cup QLS R2: AUS vs BEL round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Collignon R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Collignon R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Collignon R.De Minaur A.
39
Serve
48
32
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
57%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
95
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
99
Break points won·Dominant
55
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1837
Surface ELO
6.4+99 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1961
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
74
83

Collignon R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About