Pablo Carreno Busta vs Elmer MollerDavis Cup QLS R2: DEN vs ESP Round Robin

Davis Cup QLS R2: DEN vs ESP · ATP · Round Robin
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 13 September 2025
clay
#190ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
Carreno Busta P.
6-2 6-3
Moller E.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Moller E.
230

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Elmer Moller 6-2 6-3 in the Davis Cup QLS R2: DEN vs ESP round robin on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Moller E.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
69
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
81
Break points won·Even
61
58
Deciding sets·Even
80
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 40 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.5+174 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1593
6.7Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1609
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
86

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Moller E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About