Greet Minnen vs Petra MarcinkoW75 Le Neubourg Final

W75 Le Neubourg · CHALLENGER · Final
#205WTA
1723ELO
1667Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 September 2025
hard
#47WTA
1745ELO
1639Hard ELO
$468kYTD
$956kCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Minnen G.
6-2 6-1
Marcinko P.
Minnen G.
662
Marcinko P.
21

Greet Minnen defeated Petra Marcinko 6-2 6-1 in the W75 Le Neubourg final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Petra Marcinko came in ranked #47.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Minnen G.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Marcinko P.

Marcinko P.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Minnen G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
72
Break points saved·Dominant
80
54
Break points won·Slight edge
90
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
93
Tiebreaks·
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1639
5.2Overall Elo 1723
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
62
84

Minnen G.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d) · Marcinko P.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast