Marina Stakusic vs Polina Kudermetova — Guadalajara Round of 32

Guadalajara · WTA · Round of 32
CAN
Marina Stakusic
#140WTA
1707ELO
1672Hard ELO
21 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 September 2025
hard
Polina Kudermetova
UZB
Polina Kudermetova
#113WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Stakusic M.
3-6 7-5 6-4
Kudermetova P.
Stakusic M.
3762
Kudermetova P.
6541

Marina Stakusic defeated Polina Kudermetova 3-6 7-5 6-4 in the Guadalajara round of 32 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Stakusic M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kudermetova P.

Kudermetova P.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Stakusic M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Stakusic M.Kudermetova P.
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
4.2
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Stakusic M.Kudermetova P.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
51
Break points saved·Even
73
77
Break points won·Even
94
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
29
Tiebreaks·
—
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Stakusic M.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Kudermetova P.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.4+26 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1646
4.8Overall Elo 1707
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1727
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.7
Surface form
2.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stakusic M.Kudermetova P.
Freshness·
—
91

Kudermetova P.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Jovic I.
Arango E.
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Arango E.
Jacquemot E.
6-47-5
Jovic I.
Bartunkova N.
6-36-756-3
Quarter-finals
Arango E.
Stakusic M.
6-26-3
Jovic I.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-33-67-66
Bartunkova N.
Frech M.[4]
7-56-4
Jacquemot E.
Maria T.[6]
3-66-46-4
R16
Jacquemot E.
Mertens E.[1]
4-66-36-4
Maria T.[6]
Marino R.
6-37-5
Arango E.
Hunter S.
6-26-2
Stakusic M.
Ostapenko J.[3]
6-46-766-2
Jovic I.
Osorio C.[8]
6-46-2
Bartunkova N.
Vidmanova D.
6-36-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Kudermetova V.[2]
6-46-2
Frech M.[4]
Stefanini L.
6-17-66
R32
Arango E.
Linette M.[5]
6-00-0
Hunter S.
Siniakova K.
7-654-66-3
Vidmanova D.
Parks A.[7]
6-26-4
Jovic I.
Kawa K.
6-44-66-3
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Pridankina E.
6-46-3
Marino R.
Trevisan M.
6-26-3
Maria T.[6]
Sonmez Z.
6-46-2
Stakusic M.
Kudermetova P.
3-67-56-4
Bartunkova N.
Fossa Huergo N.
6-46-2
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-26-0
Stefanini L.
Stephens S.
6-44-66-1
Osorio C.[8]
Rakhimova K.
7-57-5