Rafael Jodar vs Mitchell KruegerWinston Salem CH Quarter-final

Winston Salem CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#25ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 September 2025
hard
#364ATP
1461ELO
1436Hard ELO
32 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLL
Jodar R.
6-3 6-2
Krueger M.
Jodar R.
662
Krueger M.
320

Rafael Jodar defeated Mitchell Krueger 6-3 6-2 in the Winston Salem CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Rafael Jodar extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasQ1hardRafael Jodar6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Krueger M.

Krueger M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jodar R.Krueger M.
18
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
16
Break points saved·Even
91
87
Break points won·Dominant
71
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
2.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 32 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
10.0+437 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1436
10.0Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1461
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
0.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
100

Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Krueger M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast