Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro TabiloGuangzhou Huangpu CH Final

Guangzhou Huangpu CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#42ATP
1790ELO
1658Hard ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 September 2025
hard
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Cerundolo J.
6-2 6-3
Tabilo A.
Cerundolo J.
662
Tabilo A.
230

Juan Manuel Cerundolo defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 6-3 in the Guangzhou Huangpu CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in ranked #33.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cerundolo J.Tabilo A.
Serve
51
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
97
Break points won·Clear edge
80
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1658
Surface ELO
6.9+92 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1819
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
96

Cerundolo J.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tabilo A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast