Iva Jovic vs Emiliana Arango — Guadalajara Final

Guadalajara · WTA · Final
Iva Jovic
USA
Iva Jovic
#16WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.4MCAREER
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 September 2025
hard
Emiliana Arango
COL
Emiliana Arango
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Jovic I.
6-4 6-1
Arango E.
Jovic I.
662
Arango E.
410

Iva Jovic defeated Emiliana Arango 6-4 6-1 in the Guadalajara final on hard. The result followed the form book — Iva Jovic came in ranked #16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jovic I.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Jovic I.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jovic I.Arango E.
40
Serve
0
70
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Jovic I.Arango E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (74 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jovic I.Arango E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
57
Break points saved·Dominant
95
56
Break points won·Clear edge
98
81
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
70
Tiebreaks·
—
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jovic I.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Arango E.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+271 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1576
7.7Overall Elo 1906
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jovic I.Arango E.
Freshness·Slight edge
78
83

Jovic I.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Arango E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Jovic I.
Arango E.
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Arango E.
Jacquemot E.
6-47-5
Jovic I.
Bartunkova N.
6-36-756-3
Quarter-finals
Arango E.
Stakusic M.
6-26-3
Jovic I.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-33-67-66
Bartunkova N.
Frech M.[4]
7-56-4
Jacquemot E.
Maria T.[6]
3-66-46-4
R16
Jacquemot E.
Mertens E.[1]
4-66-36-4
Maria T.[6]
Marino R.
6-37-5
Arango E.
Hunter S.
6-26-2
Stakusic M.
Ostapenko J.[3]
6-46-766-2
Jovic I.
Osorio C.[8]
6-46-2
Bartunkova N.
Vidmanova D.
6-36-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Kudermetova V.[2]
6-46-2
Frech M.[4]
Stefanini L.
6-17-66
R32
Arango E.
Linette M.[5]
6-00-0
Hunter S.
Siniakova K.
7-654-66-3
Vidmanova D.
Parks A.[7]
6-26-4
Jovic I.
Kawa K.
6-44-66-3
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Pridankina E.
6-46-3
Marino R.
Trevisan M.
6-26-3
Maria T.[6]
Sonmez Z.
6-46-2
Stakusic M.
Kudermetova P.
3-67-56-4
Bartunkova N.
Fossa Huergo N.
6-46-2
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-26-0
Stefanini L.
Stephens S.
6-44-66-1
Osorio C.[8]
Rakhimova K.
7-57-5