Emiliana Arango vs Elsa JacquemotGuadalajara Semi-final

Guadalajara · WTA · Semi-final
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 September 2025
hard
#80WTA
1611ELO
1581Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWLL
Arango E.
6-4 7-5
Jacquemot E.
Arango E.
672
Jacquemot E.
450

Emiliana Arango defeated Elsa Jacquemot 6-4 7-5 in the Guadalajara semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elsa Jacquemot came in ranked #80.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Jacquemot E.

Jacquemot E.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arango E.Jacquemot E.
0
Serve
9
62
Return
30

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
33
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
75
Break points won·Clear edge
81
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
70
17
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
5.1+5 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.4
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
93

Arango E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Jacquemot E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast