Andrew Paulson vs Francesco Maestrelli — Tulln CH Quarter-final

Tulln CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Andrew Paulson
CZE
Andrew Paulson
#601ATP
1452ELO
1427Clay ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 September 2025
clay
Francesco Maestrelli
ITA2
Francesco Maestrelli
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Paulson A.
6-2 6-3
Maestrelli F.
Paulson A.
662
Maestrelli F.
230

Andrew Paulson defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-2 6-3 in the Tulln CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paulson A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Paulson A.

Serve advantage — Maestrelli F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Paulson A.Maestrelli F.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paulson A.Maestrelli F.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
2
56
Break points saved·Dominant
40
83
Break points won·Slight edge
3
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
30
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paulson A.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Maestrelli F.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1427
Surface ELO
5.8+39 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1452
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paulson A.Maestrelli F.
Freshness·
—
97

Maestrelli F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Trungelliti M.[4]
Paulson A.
7-56-1
Semi-finals
Trungelliti M.[4]
Schwaerzler J.
6-46-3
Paulson A.
Rodriguez Taverna S.[5]
5-76-36-3
Quarter-finals
Schwaerzler J.
Nagal S.
6-746-46-1
Trungelliti M.[4]
Kopp S.
7-626-1
Rodriguez Taverna S.[5]
Prihodko O.
6-36-4
Paulson A.
Maestrelli F.[2]
6-26-3
R16
Rodriguez Taverna S.[5]
Dedura Palomero D.
6-46-4
Prihodko O.
Molleker R.
6-27-5
Paulson A.
Topo M.
7-53-67-65
Maestrelli F.[2]
Wehnelt K.
6-23-67-5
Kopp S.
Sachko V.[6]
1-67-626-4
Schwaerzler J.
Choinski J.[1]
7-636-2
Nagal S.
Jianu F.
6-36-4
Trungelliti M.[4]
Mikrut L.
7-646-0
R32
Maestrelli F.[2]
Kuzmanov D.
7-636-1
Schwaerzler J.
Pereira T.
6-43-66-3
Nagal S.
Poljicak M.
6-46-2
Trungelliti M.[4]
Gakhov I.
6-46-2
Sachko V.[6]
Mrva M.
6-27-65
Topo M.
Stricker D.[7]
6-46-4
Paulson A.
Berrettini J.
6-36-4
Wehnelt K.
Oberleitner N.
6-37-63
Choinski J.[1]
Kovalik J.
6-06-2
Rodriguez Taverna S.[5]
Erhard M.
6-36-4
Jianu F.
Barrena A.[8]
6-46-2
Kopp S.
Denolly C.
2-67-56-2
Prihodko O.
Neumayer L.[3]
1-66-36-4
Mikrut L.
Kolar Z.
5-76-26-3
Molleker R.
Poljak D.
7-664-66-3
Dedura Palomero D.
Sels J.
4-66-36-2