Nicole Fossa Huergo vs Katarzyna Kawa — Guadalajara 125 Round of 16

Guadalajara 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
ITA
Nicole Fossa Huergo
#531WTA
1210ELO
1199Hard ELO
31 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 September 2025
hard
Katarzyna Kawa
POL
Katarzyna Kawa
#142WTA
1664ELO
1489Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Fossa Huergo N.
6-7 6-0 6-1
Kawa K.
Fossa Huergo N.
62662
Kawa K.
77011

Nicole Fossa Huergo defeated Katarzyna Kawa 6-7 6-0 6-1 in the Guadalajara 125 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katarzyna Kawa came in ranked #142.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fossa Huergo N.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Kawa K.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Fossa Huergo N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Fossa Huergo N.Kawa K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
51%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
50%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fossa Huergo N.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Kawa K.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1199
Surface ELO
8.3+291 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1210
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1664
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Fossa Huergo N.Kawa K.
Freshness·
—
96

Kawa K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Eala A.
Udvardy P.
1-67-56-3
Semi-finals
Udvardy P.
Kozyreva M.
6-36-4
Eala A.
Day K.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Udvardy P.
Jones F.
6-44-66-3
Kozyreva M.
Smith A.
7-6106-4
Day K.
Arango E.
7-56-2
Eala A.
Fossa Huergo N.
7-626-2
R16
Udvardy P.
Bartunkova N.
7-676-2
Smith A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
2-66-47-5
Kozyreva M.
Trevisan M.
6-36-3
Jones F.
Pigossi L.
6-46-4
Day K.
Sanchez A.
6-16-4
Arango E.
Pridankina E.
7-666-1
Fossa Huergo N.
Kawa K.
6-726-06-1
Eala A.
Lepchenko V.
6-737-636-3
R32
Udvardy P.
Hinojosa Gomez J.
6-36-2
Sanchez A.
Marino R.
4-66-26-4
Lepchenko V.
Inglis M.
6-46-1
Smith A.
Rogers A.
7-57-5
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Rakhimova K.
6-17-62
Kozyreva M.
Kulikova A.
7-606-1
Pigossi L.
Shymanovich I.
6-04-66-4
Bartunkova N.
Oktiabreva A.
6-04-66-1
Fossa Huergo N.
Sousa Salazar N.
6-26-3
Trevisan M.
Gadecki O.
6-36-2
Day K.
Bektas E.
6-43-66-4
Pridankina E.
Stakusic M.
3-66-06-1
Arango E.
Stefanini L.
7-636-0
Kawa K.
Hesse A.
6-46-3
Eala A.
Hartono A.
6-26-2
Jones F.
Rodriguez V.
7-616-0