Alexandra Eala vs Varvara LepchenkoGuadalajara 125 Round of 16

Guadalajara 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#28WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$871kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 September 2025
hard
#172WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Eala A.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Lepchenko V.
Eala A.
637762
Lepchenko V.
776331

Alexandra Eala defeated Varvara Lepchenko 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Guadalajara 125 round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexandra Eala came in ranked #28, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Eala A.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Lepchenko V.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Eala A.Lepchenko V.
20
Serve
63
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
75
64
Break points won·Dominant
97
65
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+274 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1559
8.0Overall Elo 1895
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1578
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
4.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
86
44

Eala A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Lepchenko V.: 1 day rest · 6 matches, 149 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast