Gianluca Cadenasso vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerGenoa CH Round of 32

Genoa CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#193ATP
1545ELO
1509Clay ELO
$17kYTD
$212kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 September 2025
clay
#118ATP
1620ELO
1582Clay ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
Cadenasso G.
6-4 6-4
Budkov Kjaer N.
Cadenasso G.
662
Budkov Kjaer N.
440

Gianluca Cadenasso defeated Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-4 6-4 in the Genoa CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer came in ranked #118.

Key context

  • Match story: Gianluca Cadenasso edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cadenasso G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Budkov Kjaer N.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Cadenasso G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1509
Surface ELO
6.3+74 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Cadenasso G.: 21 days rest · Budkov Kjaer N.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast