Pablo Carreno Busta vs Daniel Rincon — Seville CH Round of 32

Seville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP7
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 September 2025
clay
ESP
Daniel Rincon
#205ATP
1522ELO
1469Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Carreno Busta P.
6-2 6-2
Rincon D.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Rincon D.
220

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Daniel Rincon 6-2 6-2 in the Seville CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rincon D.

Rincon D.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Rincon D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Rincon D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
41
Break points saved·Dominant
97
50
Break points won·Dominant
61
34
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Rincon D.
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.8+297 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Clay Elo 1469
8.4Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1522
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.7
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Rincon D.
Freshness·Dominant
92
51

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Rincon D.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Buse I.[6]
Olivieri G.
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Buse I.[6]
Merida Aguilar D.
6-746-26-3
Olivieri G.
Lajovic D.[4]
7-53-2
Quarter-finals
Olivieri G.
Gaubas V.[8]
1-66-37-5
Lajovic D.[4]
Carreno Busta P.[7]
6-43-66-3
Merida Aguilar D.
Jorda Sanchis D.
6-46-4
Buse I.[6]
Taberner C.[2]
6-36-2
R16
Taberner C.[2]
Den Ouden G.
6-33-1
Olivieri G.
Rocha H.
0-67-56-2
Lajovic D.[4]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-46-4
Jorda Sanchis D.
Lopez Montagud C.
4-66-46-3
Merida Aguilar D.
Faria J.[3]
4-67-56-4
Buse I.[6]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-1
Gaubas V.[8]
Forejtek J.
6-737-656-4
Carreno Busta P.[7]
Barranco Cosano J.
6-36-2
R32
Olivieri G.
Carballes Baena R.[1]
5-77-643-0
Forejtek J.
Giustino L.
6-26-3
Lajovic D.[4]
Ymer E.
7-646-726-1
Ferreira Silva F.
Strombachs R.
3-66-36-3
Barranco Cosano J.
Bueno G.
6-06-2
Jorda Sanchis D.
Barrios Vera T.[5]
6-16-3
Faria J.[3]
Alvarez Varona N.
3-66-36-4
Taberner C.[2]
Martinez A.
6-21-66-3
Rocha H.
Martin Tiffon P.
6-36-2
Lopez Montagud C.
Sanchez Jover C.
6-16-3
Gaubas V.[8]
Ramos A.
7-54-67-5
Carreno Busta P.[7]
Rincon D.
6-26-2
Den Ouden G.
Kellovsky D.
6-43-66-1
Llamas Ruiz P.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-46-0
Merida Aguilar D.
Negritu C.
3-66-36-2
Buse I.[6]
Zapata Miralles B.
7-636-3