Ignacio Buse vs Daniel Merida AguilarSeville CH Semi-final

Seville CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#33ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 September 2025
clay
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Buse I.
6-7 6-2 6-3
Merida Aguilar D.
Buse I.
64662
Merida Aguilar D.
77231

Ignacio Buse defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-7 6-2 6-3 in the Seville CH semi-final on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Buse I.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Buse I.Merida Aguilar D.
41
Serve
14
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
63
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
64
Break points won·Clear edge
28
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.7+86 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.3Clay Elo 1700
4.3Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
93

Buse I.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast