Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia SimakinZhangjiagang CH Quarter-final

Zhangjiagang CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#95ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
#289ATP
1463ELO
1505Hard ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Shimabukuro S.
6-4 6-3
Simakin I.
Shimabukuro S.
662
Simakin I.
430

Sho Shimabukuro defeated Ilia Simakin 6-4 6-3 in the Zhangjiagang CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #95.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shimabukuro S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Simakin I.

Simakin I.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Even
6.2
6.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
58
Break points saved·Even
88
87
Break points won·Slight edge
31
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 91 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0+102 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1505
5.1Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1463
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
77

Shimabukuro S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Simakin I.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast