Marketa Vondrousova vs Elena RybakinaUS Open Round of 16

US Open · WTA · Round of 16
#120WTA
1907ELO
1826Hard ELO
$33kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Vondrousova M.
6-4 5-7 6-2
Rybakina E.
Vondrousova M.
6562
Rybakina E.
4721

Marketa Vondrousova defeated Elena Rybakina 6-4 5-7 6-2 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, defending last year's round of 64. Marketa Vondrousova extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-08RomeR16clayElena Rybakina6-3 6-3
2021-10-18MoscowR32hardMarketa Vondrousova6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Vondrousova M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Vondrousova M.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vondrousova M.Rybakina E.
Serve
100
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Rybakina E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

R128
Kudermetova P.
Parrizas Diaz N.
2-2
Swiatek I.
Arango E.
6-16-2
Mcnally C.
Teichmann J.
6-26-2
Uchijima M.
Danilovic O.
7-624-67-69
Ostapenko J.
Wang X.
6-46-3
Townsend T.
Ruzic A.
6-46-4
Blinkova A.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Sabalenka A.
Masarova R.
7-56-1
Jacquemot E.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-3
Fernandez L.
Marino R.
6-26-1
Sun L.
Osorio C.
6-42-66-0
Bucsa C.
Liu C.
6-26-1
Eala A.
Tauson C.
6-32-67-611
Rybakina E.
Pareja J.
6-36-0
Valentova T.
Bronzetti L.
6-33-66-4
Raducanu E.
Shibahara E.
6-16-2
Tjen J.
Kudermetova V.
6-44-66-4
Kessler M.
Linette M.
7-57-5
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-37-63
Li A.
Sramkova R.
4-66-26-4
Jovic I.
Sasnovich A.
7-666-3
Paolini J.
Aiava D.
6-27-64
Hon P.
Jeanjean L.
6-37-5
Pegula J.
Sherif M.
6-06-4
Samsonova L.
Yuan Y.
2-66-46-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Yastremska D.
6-757-656-4
Azarenka V.
Inoue H.
7-606-4
Navarro E.
Wang Y.
7-696-3
Lamens S.
Glozman V.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Zhu L.
6-44-66-2
Putintseva Y.
Cocciaretto E.
6-47-64
Siegemund L.
Shnaider D.
7-632-66-3
Zakharova A.
Avanesyan E.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Dolehide C.
2-66-46-2
Alexandrova E.
Sevastova A.
6-46-1
Bondar A.
Svitolina E.
6-26-4
Sakkari M.
Maria T.
6-36-2
Haddad Maia B.
Kartal S.
6-31-66-1
Krueger A.
Kenin S.
5-76-46-2
Gauff C.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-727-5
Vekic D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-56-3
Baptiste H.
Siniakova K.
7-56-3
Rakhimova K.
Garcia C.
6-44-66-3
Stearns P.
Semenistaja D.
7-56-0
Frech M.
Gibson T.
6-26-2
Parry D.
Kvitova P.
6-16-0
Sonmez Z.
Volynets K.
6-36-4
Osaka N.
Minnen G.
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.
Boulter K.
6-46-4
Noskova L.
Galfi D.
6-47-5
Lys E.
Jones F.
6-07-5
Cirstea S.
Sierra S.
7-56-0
Bencic B.
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Mertens E.
Ahn A.
6-16-0
Kasatkina D.
Ruse E.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.
Mboko V.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.
Parks A.
6-06-1
Zarazua R.
Keys M.
6-7107-637-5
Muchova K.
Williams V.
6-32-66-1
Anisimova A.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Joint M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-47-66
Cristian J.
Collins D.
6-26-0
Golubic V.
Boisson L.
3-67-636-2
Kalinskaya A.
Ngounoue C.
6-05-76-4