Kaichi Uchida vs Rio NoguchiZhangjiagang CH Round of 16

Zhangjiagang CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#259ATP
1355ELO
1331Hard ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
#222ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
Uchida K.
6-1 7-6
Noguchi R.
Uchida K.
6772
Noguchi R.
1640

Kaichi Uchida defeated Rio Noguchi 6-1 7-6 in the Zhangjiagang CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rio Noguchi came in ranked #222, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Kaichi Uchida came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Uchida K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Noguchi R.

Noguchi R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Uchida K.

Serve advantage — Noguchi R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
8
23
Break points saved·Dominant
73
25
Break points won·Clear edge
2
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1331
Surface ELO
7.3+181 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1355
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1532
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
4.5
Surface form
6.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.2
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
86

Uchida K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Noguchi R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast