Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina KudermetovaUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
#113WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Sabalenka A.
7-6 6-2
Kudermetova P.
Sabalenka A.
7762
Kudermetova P.
642

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Polina Kudermetova 7-6 6-2 in the US Open round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-30BrisbaneFhardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kudermetova P.

Kudermetova P.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Kudermetova P.
96
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
51
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
77
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
29
Tiebreaks·
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
93

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Kudermetova P.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

R128
Kudermetova P.
Parrizas Diaz N.
2-2
Swiatek I.
Arango E.
6-16-2
Mcnally C.
Teichmann J.
6-26-2
Uchijima M.
Danilovic O.
7-624-67-69
Ostapenko J.
Wang X.
6-46-3
Townsend T.
Ruzic A.
6-46-4
Blinkova A.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Sabalenka A.
Masarova R.
7-56-1
Jacquemot E.
Bouzkova M.
6-46-3
Fernandez L.
Marino R.
6-26-1
Sun L.
Osorio C.
6-42-66-0
Bucsa C.
Liu C.
6-26-1
Eala A.
Tauson C.
6-32-67-611
Rybakina E.
Pareja J.
6-36-0
Valentova T.
Bronzetti L.
6-33-66-4
Raducanu E.
Shibahara E.
6-16-2
Tjen J.
Kudermetova V.
6-44-66-4
Kessler M.
Linette M.
7-57-5
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-37-63
Li A.
Sramkova R.
4-66-26-4
Jovic I.
Sasnovich A.
7-666-3
Paolini J.
Aiava D.
6-27-64
Hon P.
Jeanjean L.
6-37-5
Pegula J.
Sherif M.
6-06-4
Samsonova L.
Yuan Y.
2-66-46-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Yastremska D.
6-757-656-4
Azarenka V.
Inoue H.
7-606-4
Navarro E.
Wang Y.
7-696-3
Lamens S.
Glozman V.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Zhu L.
6-44-66-2
Putintseva Y.
Cocciaretto E.
6-47-64
Siegemund L.
Shnaider D.
7-632-66-3
Zakharova A.
Avanesyan E.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Dolehide C.
2-66-46-2
Alexandrova E.
Sevastova A.
6-46-1
Bondar A.
Svitolina E.
6-26-4
Sakkari M.
Maria T.
6-36-2
Haddad Maia B.
Kartal S.
6-31-66-1
Krueger A.
Kenin S.
5-76-46-2
Gauff C.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-727-5
Vekic D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-56-3
Baptiste H.
Siniakova K.
7-56-3
Rakhimova K.
Garcia C.
6-44-66-3
Stearns P.
Semenistaja D.
7-56-0
Frech M.
Gibson T.
6-26-2
Parry D.
Kvitova P.
6-16-0
Sonmez Z.
Volynets K.
6-36-4
Osaka N.
Minnen G.
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.
Boulter K.
6-46-4
Noskova L.
Galfi D.
6-47-5
Lys E.
Jones F.
6-07-5
Cirstea S.
Sierra S.
7-56-0
Bencic B.
Zhang S.
6-36-3
Mertens E.
Ahn A.
6-16-0
Kasatkina D.
Ruse E.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.
Mboko V.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.
Parks A.
6-06-1
Zarazua R.
Keys M.
6-7107-637-5
Muchova K.
Williams V.
6-32-66-1
Anisimova A.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Joint M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-47-66
Cristian J.
Collins D.
6-26-0
Golubic V.
Boisson L.
3-67-636-2
Kalinskaya A.
Ngounoue C.
6-05-76-4